During elections while analysing pre poll,exit poll and post pollresults, psephologists consider various factors which help in aparty's performance. Now everyone is debating whether muslims willhelp BJP in the Uttar Pradesh elections. People may wonder how this question is pertinent as muslims generally do not vote for BJP underany circumstances.

BJP rivals,Congress, BSP,SP,MIM and others often brand it as a demonand BJP too though call these parties as pseudo secular parties, donotmake any concrete effort to win the hearts of muslims. Instead theirleaders too come with statements like muslims donot vote for the partyand there is no need to try to win their hearts.

In the midst of all this many are left wondering whether split in muslim votes help BJP win the most important state of India, Uttar Pradesh. Till now in these elections, no issue dominated in across the state and parties are tried to whip passions by making highly vitriolic statements.

Though there is some talk of development int he campaigning, virtuallyconversation shift to caste,religious identity. Party which managebeter coalition in socio economic manner will win more number ofseats.SP and BSP managed to do it in 2012 and 2007 respectively.Survey undertaken by students at the Centre for the Study ofDeveloping Societies confirm that people have divided opinions butstill it is not clear as to how it will affect the results.

Following demonetisation people hate to see parties which come insupport of corruption. Muslim-Dalit strong coalition will help BSP butti depends how muslims vote in these elections. Muslim votes arecrucial even for the success of SP-Congress coalition. They hope toget muslim votes enmasse. This may prove to their advantage as Yadavsalways voted for SP. Not Jatav voters shifted from BSP.

BJP too is surprisingly dependent on muslim votes. If muslim votessplit and Hindus consolitate, then there is no stopping BJP. That isthe reason why BJP try to divide muslim votes playing on their fears.It is emerging successful in getting non yadav OBC-non Jatav dalitvotes.