In Andhra Pradesh, whether before or after bifurcation, the
prominence of both Godavari districts is well known. They both
contribute for 38 Assembly seats. If TDP lost in 2009 it was because of
PRP splitting votes and it gained in 2014 will full consolidation of
Kapu votes.
The fact that Jagan’s party
couldn’t open its kitty here in 2014 especially in West Godavari
district had a major impact while East elected five MLA’s as concessions
for Jagan. But now YSRCP is facing an existential threat in the region.
Chandrababu
has been focusing on Jagan’s strong hold of Rayalaseema and has started
weakening the party there. Now if Godavari region can be fully held by
TDP, then it would be an early crasher for Jagan’s dreams of becoming
the CM.
Moreover Kapu vote bank wipeout is
something Jagan clearly risked as he sidelined the senior Kapu leader
Jyothula Nehru for last few weeks. It is heard that Nehru wants to teach
Jagan a fitting lesson by taking with him all the MLA’s in the crucial
region.
