The battle for India's largest state Uttar Pradesh is increasing with each passing day. National parties BJP and Congress, regional parties SP and BSP are leaving no stone unturned as many regard it as a virtual semi-final before the 2019 midterm polls.

Post demonetisation while opposition parties are hoping that people will punish BJP for the troubles they underwent standing in the long queues, BJP is confident that people will vote against the corrupt regime of the other parties. 
Stakes are high for PM Modi, MayawathiCongress VP Rahul Gandhi, UP CM Akhilesh Yadav of SP anMayawati. Under these circumstances, bookies came with their own predictions and announced their winner. 

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At the start of the polls, many feared hung assembly in Uttar Pradesh but after BJP's stunning performance in Maharashtra, people are scared of betting against the party. During the first two phases, bookies placed bets on SP-Congress alliance but now things changed at a drastic pace. 


Now after the end of five phases, bookies are placing heir bets on BJP winning 161 seats. Bookies now believe that the surgical strikes and demonetisation may help PM Modi and BJP. The rate in gambling market for BJP winning 161 seats out of 403 is 1:1 which means that if BJP wins 161 seats then the person betting in favour of the party will get double the money.Bookies are in a mood to believe that SP will win more than 150 seats as the betting market rates are 2.5:1. For SP winning 160 seats the rate is 4:1. 


Bookies had earlier believed that no one would win 170 seats. The rate for BJP and SP winning 170 seats was 4:1 and for 160 it was 2.5:1. 


Bookies in the following states came with the following predictions on UP elections. 
Gujarat:
BJP - 200-203 seats
SP-Congress - 120-125 seats
BSP - 60-62 seats
Mumbai:
BJP - 195-200 seats
SP-Congress - 120-125
BSP - 64-67
Madhya Pradesh:
BJP - 177-180
SP-Congress - 136-139
BSP - 61-63
Delhi:
BJP - 190-194
SP-Congress - 129-133
BSP - 65-68


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